Looking Ahead and Some Thoughts

Overview-

•Cold temperatures continue into the middle of next week

•Chance of snow showers Saturday night into Sunday, best chance for light snow occurs Sunday night into Monday, only light accumulations expected

•Tranquil weather expected Mon-Wed with cold temps and mainly dry conditions

•Next chance for snow comes mid to late week next week, very low confidence into whether or not the storm will impact the region

•Some indications that temps will moderate by the end of next week with temps potentially getting back into the 40’s

 

Details-

The monster storm that never was, and caused all kinds of drama in the meteorological community will pass to our SE on Sunday and not phase with another piece of energy and develop rapidly into a giant Nor Easter on Sunday. Instead these two pieces of energy have decided to go their separate ways, and the only impacts we can expect is the chance for snow showers, and light snow on Sunday into Monday AM. At the moment it does not look like any significant snow will fall across our region, instead a general coating to 2 inches will impact the region, just enough to remind us that winter is still very much in control. The next chance for snow across the region is Wed/Thur, at this point it is far to early to get into any details, and anything more than highlighting the potential of a storm at this time frame is irresponsible. We will of course be monitoring the situation, and as things become clearer, or any more probable we will pass the information along to everyone. As a side note its important to mention that we received a lot of inquiries over the last week about the possible weekend storm, everything from “are we getting 30 inches of snow” to “is it true the storm of the century is coming”. These days, thanks to the fact that we are all generally linked into the some kind of news source or social media at all times, it does not take long for things to may or may not be factual to spread like wildfire. It is the responsibility of anyone who has a large connection to the public to always strive to be as responsible and sensible with the power as possible, HVW takes this responsibility very seriously. We know that many people hang on our every word, that municipalities and emergency services utilize our information to make decisions that can effect many other people, and therefore we hold ourselves to the highest standards in terms of supplying not only timely information, but accurate information. The best way to put it is to say that if there was in fact a large scale storm that was probable to severely impact our region, we will be the first to let you know, as we did with Irene and Sandy and the October Snow Storm. But we will always handle any weather forecast beyond 3-5 days very cautiously, knowing from experience that forecasting in this timeframe is far from perfect, not usually accurate, and something that no one in the field of meteorology has the ability to do accurately on a regular basis. If we pull the trigger on a long range forecast that impacts our region, it is safe to assume that the threat is either very large or imminent, and we feel that it is important to give the community ample time to prepare for its impacts. I hope this clears up why we were never really on the hype wagon with the storm, and simply left it as “a significant storm may impact the region” and nothing more.

 

 

Comments

  1. Keith says

    Appreciate your accurate & responsible forecasting. These media outlets love to be the first to hype things up and throw people into a panic. You are my only source for Hudson Valley weather. Thank you!!!

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