Sunday Discussion: Advancing Showers

The front edge of the rain showers… and the end to our spring time warmth… is in the Catskills this morning.  These scattered rain showers should continue to spread east this morning.

Expect periods of rain showers to begin falling over the next couple hours.  A brief downpour can’t be ruled out.  Temps are already in the 50s, so we have a mild start to our Sunday.  The chill will begin to settle in this afternoon, behind the rain showers and cold front.  Until then, it should be a relatively mild.

So grab the umbrella and be ready for developing showers this morning.  Hope everyone has a great Sunday!

Saturday Discussion : Gorgeous

Spring has sprung… at least for a day. Sunshine is being filtered thru high clouds for our Saturday afternoon. A cold front near the Great Lakes allowed for a warm front to surge northward… giving us a warm southwest flow in the Hudson Valley.

As of 2pm… Poughkeepsie is at 70 degrees, and temps all around the region are in the upper 60s to around 70… where they will hold for the rest of the afternoon. The warmth will be accompanied by a persistent springlike breeze. All in all… a beautiful spring Saturday!

Sunday we’ll see the cold front move in early… spreading rain showers across the region for most of the morning. Temps will start the day out in the 50s… but will fall with the passage of the front during the afternoon. By sunset on Sunday, it will feel like late winter once again.

So enjoy the spring preview while you can. But rest easy, these type of days will become more common in the coming weeks.

Friday Discussion : Persistent Showers

A weak frontal boundary will push into the Hudson Valley on Friday, and bring with it a batch of rain showers… that will be with us for much of the day.

Winds will shift out of the south, trying to usher in some much milder air.  However, the frontal boundary will hold in the Hudson Valley, instead of lifting north as projected earlier in the week.  The result will be mainly cloudy skies and periods of rain showers for much of the morning and into the afternoon hours.  The rain showers will develop near sunrise, and become more persistent by late morning and into the early afternoon.

The threat for showers will diminish overnight Friday into Saturday… before we finally see the front push northward.  That should allow for considerable sunshine and warming temperatures.  Temps on Saturday will climb well into the 60s and near 70° in spots.  The front should push back into the region late Saturday night and early Sunday… spreading rain back into the region.

Have a great Friday… and thanks for your continued support.

Thursday Discussion : Milder, but Clouds Increase

After yet another frosty start… sunshine and blue skies will gradually fade behind clouds as the day progresses. A light south wind will help pull temperatures up above the 50° mark today, which should feel a little more like spring to many of us. Afternoon highs between 50° and 55° are expected.
 
We’ll see cloudy skies and areas of patchy drizzle developing overnight, with the chances for showers increasing toward morning. The showers are likely to be with us through the first half of Friday at least. Temps should climb into the upper 50s and near 60° Friday afternoon… but it’s not looking as nice as preliminary forecasts were suggesting earlier in the week. But for the moment… Saturday still looks like a pure winner… with highs surging well into the 60s and possibly cracking 70° in some places if we get enough sunshine in the afternoon. We’ll be monitoring a frontal boundary off to our northwest on Saturday… so if that gets too close to the Hudson Valley, it could mean more clouds and cooler temps. But for the moment… Saturday is still looking like a beautiful spring day.
 
Hope everyone has a great Thursday!

Tuesday Discussion : Sunshine and Chill

The weather pattern has quieted down quite a bit, as we near the end of March. We’ll have sunshine and blue skies for the most part on Tuesday, but a pesky NW breeze will keep the chill in the region.  Temps will struggle into the low 40s for highs, making it feel more like the beginning of March rather than the end of March.  The chill will moderate more and more as we move through the work week.

The best chance for rain is as we near the end of the week, Thursday night… we could see some rain showers scattered about. But otherwise… lots of sunshine for the Hudson Valley. And yes… those are 60s and possibly even near 70° by the weekend! Out ahead of our next frontal system that will likely impact us Sunday.

Have a great Tuesday!

Sunday Discussion : Sunny Spring Day

A fantastic early Spring day across the Hudson Valley, to close out our 1st weekend of Spring.  We’ve got partly to mostly sunny skies that will see high clouds gradually increase toward sunset.  Temperatures in the low to mid 50s at lunch time… will creep toward 60° for afternoon highs, falling just short in many spots.  An excellent day to get out and do some early spring activities!
 
Clouds move in tonight, as some colder air sinks southward overnight and into Monday… giving us a chilly start to the work week.  But in terms of upcoming weather… no real unsettled weather heading our way for the next couple days… just some chilly air for late March.
 
Enjoy your Sunday afternoon!

Saturday Afternoon Brief : Blustery Winds

The winds out of the northwest are howling across the Hudson Valley this afternoon.  That has translated temperatures that are in the low to mid 40s… into wind chills that feel like the 30s… and even upper 20s in some places.  Temps will be cold tonight, falling into the low and mid 20s in some locations… but Sunday is shaping up to be quite nice.  Sunday afternoon highs will fight their way into the mid 50s for much of the Hudson Valley, under a SW wind.  If that mild wind can work a little magic… we might see a couple places take a shot at the 60° mark Sunday afternoon.  But at minimum… Sunday afternoon is looking like a decent early spring day.
 
Hope everyone is bundled up, and holding onto their hat this afternoon.  Have a great Saturday afternoon!

Friday Afternoon Discussion : The Wake of the Storm

In the wake of our late season winter storm, the sun has made an appearance before it sets this evening. Most of the region saw a soaking rainfall… however, head up into the Catskills above 1200 feet or so… and it was a much different story. Wet snow fell, and accumulated several inches in some spots. We’ll try recapping the situation tonight.
 
But for the evening, we should see winds gusting out of the northwest tonight, over 25 to 30mph at times. This will set the stage for a wintry feel tonight… lows in the upper 20s and wind chills near 20° in the valley.
 
Our Saturday should see mostly sunny skies with windy conditions. Winds gusting over 30mph out of the northwest… with highs in the low 40s in the valley… barely above freezing in the Catskills. Then on Sunday… winds shift around to the SW and temps climb into the mid and upper 50s for highs… under sunshine mixing with afternoon clouds. Making for a nice finish to our 1st weekend of spring.
 
So we hope everyone had a nice end to the work week… a chilly start to the weekend, should have a pretty nice finish on Sunday.

Thursday Evening Update – Wet Snow in the Catskills Late

Evening Summary:
– Rain showers, with embedded downpours through midnight
– High elevation wet snow possible after midnight
 
Our gray and damp Thursday continues as the evening commute unfolds. Temperatures are generally in the low to mid 40s in the valley… and in the upper 30s in the Catskills. Rain showers continue to fall around the region, with the heaviest rains focused off to our west.
 
Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for the higher elevations of the region… the Catskills and Taconics. This futurecast radar loop runs from 3pm this afternoon, through 8am Friday morning. You’ll notice that we likely will see several waves of rain showers through the evening hours, and into the overnight. Temperatures during that time should hold in the upper 30s to low 40s around the region.

Futurecast Radar: 3pm Thu – 8am Fri

After midnight, the storm begins to track toward the coast, and this will pull colder air into the back side of the storm. You can visually see this on the simulated radar, as the rain changes to snow in the Catskills and areas NW of the Hudson Valley. However, this storm track is too far west for accumulating snow in the Hudson Valley, with the accumulating wet snow focused north and west of our area. So it’s a cold rain, through the night… for the majority of the Hudson Valley.
 
Viewers in the Catskills (Sullivan, NW Ulster, W Greene and Delaware counties), you will likely see a changeover to wet snow before sunrise on Friday, and some accumulation is expected. A slushy 2 to 6 inches are possible, with the higher totals falling in the highest elevations.  This is consistent with our snowfall forecast issued last night.
Bundle up and stay dry… Mother Nature is giving us a very wet welcome to spring.