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Monday Discussion : Warmer and Drier

After a soaked Sunday, which saw steady periods of light to moderate rain through sunset… Monday has the hopes of being better.  We should see some breaks of sunshine, especially in the morning.  But latest guidance is suggesting that the afternoon may see clouds return… with a few spot showers possible around the Hudson Valley.

You can see the close up of the Hudson Valley has a few spotty areas of light rain.  Temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 60s and near 70°, but the increasing clouds and spot showers could hold temps down a few degrees.  All in all, the day looks dramatically better than Sunday… but could have a spotty afternoon shower or patchy drizzle in spots.

Looking to Tuesday, things warm up considerably… into the mid 70s.  That’s out ahead of a cold front, with scattered showers and a thunderstorm Tuesday Afternoon.  Our weather has been trying the patience of many waiting for spring to arrive.  Things look to gradually improve this week… but there will be bumps in the road.  Have a great Monday!

Sunday Discussion: April Showers Bring May… Showers

A soggy start to our Sunday in the Hudson Valley.  We have steady rain falling from the Mid Hudson Valley on south, and light showers falling across the Catskills and northern HV, as seen on the radar below.

We expect the rain and showers to continue through the morning, before tapering off this afternoon.  You’ll definitely want the umbrella if heading out today, and also need a light coat… as temps are expected to hold in the mid 50s today.  Hope everyone has a great Cinco de Mayo despite the rain.  Sunshine and warmer weather returns for Monday… so at least there is an end in sight to this weather.

Saturday Discussion: Grey Start to May

Low clouds and patchy drizzle will likely hold on through the afternoon hours, as a stalled out boundary lingers over the northeast.  It’s a pattern that has been stubborn over the past two weeks, and should begin to change next week.  However for today, any breaks of sunshine will be limited and hard to come by.  We even have a few rain showers around the NYC area, as seen on the latest radar image below.

Those should stay mainly to our south, but we can’t rule out a shower or area of drizzle this afternoon.  Temperatures should not move very much, holding in the upper 50s to low 60s for afternoon highs.

The “good news”, is that the heavy rains we originally saw impacting our Sunday, appear likely to be focused a bit further south, and not as heavy as first projected.  So instead of a total washout on Sunday… it looks like rain showers will develop after midnight, and continue into the morning on Sunday.  Showers should taper off in the afternoon, leaving us with mostly cloudy skies late Sunday afternoon.  Temps are likely to be chilly, holding in the 50s all day on Sunday.

Conditions should improve heading into the work week, but our first weekend of May, is looking gray and damp.  Hope everyone makes the most of it, and has a great weekend! 

Thursday Afternoon Discussion : Unsettled Evening Possible

Sunshine mixing in with clouds, as we’ve finally salvaged a taste of spring from this damp and chilly week of weather. A persistent trough over the northeast has kept the Hudson Valley unsettled and cool all week. That trough has shifted north just enough today, to allow warmer air to push into the region.
As of mid afternoon on Thursday, much of the Hudson Valley is low to mid 70s, with slightly cooler temps in the Catskills. A breath of fresh air for many people who have been waiting for consistent spring weather to arrive.
As the evening approaches, we’ll see some spot showers, and maybe a downpour pop up in a few places. Our futurecast radars are hinting at a few popup showers and thundershowers… especially near and south of I-84. None of these showers or storms look especially heavy, but be on the lookout for a few spot showers that could create wet roads and tricky travel for the evening commute.
Cooler air returns on Friday, with the threat of drizzle and scattered showers. Highs on Friday will be closer to 60°, depending on if we see any sunshine… temps could climb into the mid 60s. On the flip side, if the low clouds and drizzle persist, temps could linger in the mid to upper 50s all afternoon on Friday. Either way, Friday looks unsettled around the region.

Monday Discussion : Cool Pattern Starts the Week

Are we about to enter into May? … or are we stuck in March? … Based on the latest weather this weekend, it might be hard to tell.  In the wake of a rainstorm to close the work week, we saw a blustery Saturday with gusts over 35mph… and Sunday saw a return to rain showers and unsettled weather.  Both days saw temperatures pinned in the 40s, struggling into the low 50s in some places.  Then last night… calm winds and clearing skies allowed low temperatures into the low and mid 30s… maybe even some upper 20s.  That will mean some areas of frost… even a hard freeze in some places.  Just as many were thinking about planting for the season.

So to start the work week, we’ll see sunshine mixing with afternoon clouds.  Highs will struggle into the mid and upper 50s for the afternoon… possibly creeping toward 60° for highs in some places… several degrees below average.  Clouds will thicken during the evening, and scattered rain showers are possible before midnight.  Scattered showers for the overnight, should clear out in time for the Tuesday morning commute.  Conditions should then improve on Tuesday… with some breaks of sunshine.  Depending on how much sun we see, will determine whether highs are in the low to mid 60s on Tuesday… or push the 70° mark.

The remainder of the week looks quite unsettled and uncertain, as a series of storm systems develop along a frontal boundary over the central US.  Those storms will track northeastward, and continually spread clouds and chances for showers through the 2nd half of the work week.  If you have plans for later in the week, you’ll want to keep checking on the forecast.  The position of the boundary will need to be fine tuned in the coming days… and will mean the difference between clouds, showers and temps in the 50s… and sunshine and clouds, and temps in the 70s.

European Model Northeast Friday Temperatures

GFS Model Northeast Friday Temperatures

Quite a major uncertainty… but it’s due to the position of a backdoor cold front that could hold over New England, and keep the flow out of the NE.  Details are everything as we head through the week…

Friday Discussion : Stormy End to the Week

As we approach mid day, you can see that the radar is very active. Numerous scattered rain showers are spread all out around the region. These rain showers are moving NNE rather rapidly, and will keep the Hudson Valley soggy and unsettled through the afternoon hours.
Radar Loop : 10am – 11:40am
Our first period of rain showers and downpours can be seen on this radar loop, and will impact the region through mid afternoon. Then we could see things taper off for a few hours around the evening commute. However, another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop and affect the region between 6pm and midnight. So if you have evening plans, be sure to have the rain gear handy. We don’t expect any severe weather with these storms, but a few strong wind gusts can’t be ruled out with a heavy downpour.
After midnight, we should slowly begin to see things dry out… and conditions to become quite windy behind the front. That will lead to a blustery Saturday around the region.
Stay dry, and have a great Friday afternoon!

Thursday Discussion : Seasonal Spring Day

A cool, but comfortable spring day around the Hudson Valley, with lots of sunshine and blue skies. Afternoon highs should top out in the mid to upper 60s. But clouds will be increasing through the afternoon, out ahead of our next storm system… which will impact the region late tonight and on Friday.
A low pressure system approaches from the SW late tonight, and it will spread rain showers into the region by sunrise on Friday. Expect a damp Friday morning commute. The showers will likely taper off for several hours… with skies remaining cloudy, and the threat of scattered showers lingering through the afternoon… with afternoon highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.
As the cold front approaches near sunset on Friday, a line of downpours and thundershowers are expected some time between 6pm and 10pm. Behind that, temperatures will tumble in to the 40s, and scattered rain showers will last through much of Friday night… possibly tapering as wet snow in the Catskills.
That will leave us with a blustery and chilly final weekend of April. Saturday looks windy with increasing afternoon sunshine… with highs struggling into the low and mid 50s. Sunday, we may see another weak system push through the region, that could feel like late winter. Scattered rain and mountain wet snow showers… and highs possibly not climbing above 50°.
Enjoy the rest of your Thursday afternoon!

Tuesday Discussion : Gorgeous Taste of Spring

If you’ve been able to get outside this morning, even for a few minutes, you can’t help but have noticed that it’s gorgeous out.
Tuesday afternoon will see sunshine and blue skies… mixing with some increasing clouds. Highs in the mid to upper 70s are expected… a beautiful spring day.
However, we are tracking a front approaching from the NW, that will bring scattered showers to the Hudson Valley this evening. The potential for scattered showers and even a rumble of thunder will be with us through midnight. If you have plans tonight, definitely factor in the chance for a few showers.
Behind the front on Wednesday, temps will be cooler… highs in the afternoon only climb into the low 60s, with a persistent NW breeze. A much different feel from today.
Hope everyone has a great afternoon! Enjoy the nice weather!

Monday Discussion : Persistent Upper Level Low

An unsettled start to the work week, as the upper low pressure system over the eastern US continues to linger. The result is another very weak coastal low pressure system developing today. It should stay mainly to our east, and its impacts on the Hudson Valley should be confined to mostly cloudy skies.
Even with a weak coastal storm lingering off shore, and winds out of the northeast, we should see highs climb into the mid and upper 60s on Monday. Leaving us with a rather gray, but mainly dry start to the work week.
Clouds should give way a bit more on Tuesday, and our winds shift out of the SW. That should allow temps to jump into the 70s for highs, and quite a nice spring day on tap for Tuesday.
Conditions should improve a bit as the week goes on, but we’ll still be dodging some instability through the middle and 2nd half of the work week. More info is available on the 5 day forecast. Hope everyone has a great start to the week!

Sunday Discussion : Unsettled Easter

Happy Easter, Hudson Valley!  Our weather for this Easter Sunday will be less than perfect… but shouldn’t throw any major wrenches into your plans.  Clouds will be the story of the day, but could mix with breaks of sun at times.  Here’s the futurecast satellite loop for today, and you can see it’s got lots of clouds, with breaks in the sky at times expected…

Futurecast Satellite Loop : Sunday 8am thru 8pm

So while clouds won’t exit the region today, they should allow for some peeks of sun at times.  In addition, temperatures should be quite comfortable for a spring afternoon, topping out in the mid and upper 60s in the Hudson Valley (a bit cooler in the Catskills)

Sunday High Temperatures

So all in all, looking like a fairly nice Sunday afternoon.  However, spotty rain showers cannot be ruled out either.  With a large upper level low pressure system stalled out over the eastern US, it means there will be a constant risk of pop up rain showers and sprinkles through the afternoon.  Here’s the simulated radar for the Hudson Valley

Futurecast Radar : 10am Sunday – 4am Monday

You can see some instability especially over the Catskills during the afternoon on Sunday, but the majority of the region appears likely to remain dry.  But a glance at the simulated radar, and you can see why we can’t rule out the spotty rain shower or sprinkle this afternoon.

All in all, the weather should cooperate today.  We hope everyone has a wonderful Sunday!