It’s beginning to feel like we’re not needed. As if Hudson Valley Weather can shut down operations, pack up our stuff, and get on the next train out of the region. Winter, has simply been a figment of our imagination. Normal February snowfall in Poughkeepsie, is 12.8 inches for the month. As of this post… Poughkeepsie has 0.9″ of snowfall in February…
This is pretty incredible. A whopping 0.9″ of snow for the month of February so far… and lets be up front, the odds of accumulating snowfall in Poughkeepsie prior to March 1st, are not very good at all. So it’s entirely conceivable that the map above will not change much by the end of February.
Where has all the snow been? Well… let’s look at temperatures since the start of 2020. What have the temperatures looked like for January and February so far?…
The picture is beginning to look clearer by the moment. Temperatures for the first 53 days of 2020 are running roughly 6.5° above average. January finished 7.5° above average at the Poughkeepsie reporting station, and the month of February after 21 days, is 5.5° above average. It’s going to be extremely difficult to get any accumulating snowfall when temperatures are this warm. December was near average… both in terms of temperatures (0.2° above average) and snowfall (10.9″… 2.2 inches above average). But ever since December ended… winter has been no where to be found. When we look at the Meteorological winter as a whole, it’s ultimately about +4.1°. The Poughkeepsie historical average for meteorological winter (Dec., Jan., Feb.) is 28.8°. That puts this winter currently at the 9th warmest winter on record (as of 2/19/20).
Since we turned the calendar to 2020, we’ve seen a stunningly low 3.5″ of snow in Poughkeepsie. Normally over that time we should have seen 24.7″ of snow. Meaning so far in Janauary and February, we’ve seen a measley 14.1% of our average snowfall. So when we stack this winter up against the last 29 years… how does it shake out?
If the winter ended today, this winter would be the 3rd least snowy winter in roughly the last 30 years. In 2015-2016, a meek 10.4″ of snow fell in Poughkeepsie, in the winter of 94-95 a meager 12.0″ of snow fell in Poughkeepsie. So far this winter… only 14.4″ of snow has fallen in Poughkeepsie. That’s almost 30″ below the average of 42.71″ in Poughkeepsie. So while this winter isn’t the record warmest, or record lowest in terms of snowfall… it’s clearly, starkly, well below average in snowfall… and above average in terms of temperature.
This winter has not gone the way we anticipated back in the fall. So many variables have not unfolded as expected, that it will take quite some time to determine why it’s been so warm this winter. But no matter how the pattern shakes out for the remaining month or so of winter, we will be here with you to break down the details and forecast it with you. Thank you for your continued support!