Another round of heavy rain progressing through the region, persistent cloud cover means we lack the instability for any of these to currently be severe.
Put the threat of storms, some strong to severe will persist through the day. If we see afternoon sun, the chance of these storms being severe will increase, otherwise expect rounds of passing heavy downpours. This slow moving cold front will eventually clear the region by tomorrow, winds will shift out of the NW and the cool down will begin.
Sunday was hot… but particularly humid, with dewpoints in the low 70s. Then the line of thunderstorms brought widespread soaking rain and temporary relief in the form of cooler temperatures. But we’ll do it all again on Monday, as the heat and humidity will build back into the region.
A heat advisory is in effect, for temps near 90°, but more importantly for the dew points in the low to mid 70s. That will generate real feel heat index values in the mid 90s around the Hudson Valley. It’s going to be uncomfortable to say the least, so make sure to take frequent breaks from strenuous outdoor activity on Monday.
In addition, late day T-Storms are also a concern. Early guidance suggests a band of showers and storms focused on the lower half of the Hudson Valley, mainly after 2 or 3 pm. However, if there’s anything the weather of the past several days has taught us… is that the computer guidance struggles greatly with the details of these shower and thunderstorm threats that materialize in the afternoon. Since we’re not able to pinpoint the timing and location in advance, it’s best to keep an eye on the radar, or our Facebook page, where we’ll try to post updates as the situation begins to materialize on Monday.
Stay cool, and have a great Monday!
A summery Sunday for the Hudson Valley, as we see heat and humidity build over the region. Our flow out of the SW will cause humidity to swell, with dew points in the low to mid 70s. Afternoon highs will approach 90 degrees… feeling like the low to mid 90s when we factor in the humidity.
Like Saturday, we will have to keep an eye on the sky for scattered showers and T-Storms. Guidance suggests a broken band of storms may form over the region between 4pm and 9pm (HV circles).
So anyone with outdoor activities will want to take this into consideration
The next few days will feature a rather unsettled weather pattern for the Hudson Valley. That will translate into warm and humid air mass, with each day featuring a mix of clouds and sunshine… but also a persistent threat of a scattered shower, or afternoon thunderstorms. This threat will extend from today… straight on into Friday or Saturday. So don’t expect big changes in the weather pattern right away.
A weak upper level disturbance over the Great Lakes will allow for a couple waves of energy to rotate through the eastern US over the next few days. Simultaneously, we’ve got a Bermuda high battling for position, which is keeping a rather humid air mass locked in over the region. We won’t begin to see a change… until the upper level disturbance in the Great Lakes backs off… and allows heat and humidity to move back into the Hudson Valley. That likely happens on the back half of the weekend. Have a great Wednesday!
This time of year, it’s possible to have an oppressively hot and humid. But the Hudson Valley this weekend, will see beautiful weather for early August. Sunshine will mix with clouds, and a northwest flow will translate into low humidity levels, and comfortable temps. Highs in the upper 70s to near 80 are expected… which is a couple degrees below average.
So we hope everyone with outdoor plans this weekend will be happy with the weather’s cooperation. Everyone have a great weekend!
A rather nice start to the day around the Hudson Valley, with temps in the 60s and 70s… and comfortable humidity levels. As the afternoon progresses, we will see some rising humidity levels, and a few isolated mid to late afternoon T-Storms may pop up.
Futurecast 12pm Tuesday – 12am Wednesday
This futurecast NY state radar shows showers and storms blossoming just after mid day across the Hudson Valley. Likely focused in the Catskills early, they do appear likely to affect all parts of the region before midnight. While this radar looks ominous, the storm cells are actually rather sporadic, and not impacting too much of the region. This can be seen better in the total precipitation map:
Total Projected Rainfall – Tuesday
Notice the Hudson Valley doesn’t have a lot of rainfall, except for the Catskills. Poughkeepsie projecting 0.01″ of rain, Monticello 0.05″… so it’s going to be hit or miss storms. Where a storm hits, you could get a quick inch of rain. But for most locations, you may hear some rumbling thunder in the distance… or some dark clouds over the horizon… but you end up staying dry. Either way, keep an eye to the sky later today.