Monday Discussion : Spring Rings True

April was incredibly cold, not just in the Hudson Valley, but across the entire United States.  Just look at this map, comparing actual April temperatures against the average…

The map is in Celsius, so we converted the Hudson Valley to Fahrenheit… and we were roughly 5° below average.  Poughkeepsie was 5.5 degrees below average during the month of April… and other parts of the northeast had the coldest and snowiest April on record.

So it’s been a SLOW start to spring… and then we exploded with a very warm start to the month of May.  Poughkeepsie hit 89° twice in the first 3 days of May.  Leading some people to claim that we skip from winter and go straight to summer.  But this week… we’ll get some much deserved SPRING!

Monday will kick off the week of spring time weather, with partly to mostly sunny skies… with afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.  GREAT weather for anyone with outdoor plans.  The trend continues on Tuesday, and into Wednesday… with considerable sunshine and temperatures in the low 70s.  We’ll have to watch for a threat of showers by the end of the work week… but for now… the weather that many people have been waiting for, has arrived.

Have a great Monday!

Sunday Discussion : Cooler and Unsettled

Saturday was a beautiful spring day across the region.  Lots of sunshine, some late day clouds… and afternoon highs in the low 70s on average.  Unfortunately, Sunday’s weather won’t be a repeat… and in fact will be quite a bit different.

Mainly cloudy skies with a cool NE breeze on Sunday.  Early morning scattered showers should taper off to just cloudy skies for much of the late morning and afternoon hours.  That’s because we expect the steady band of light rain to push NW of much of the Hudson Valley, mainly persisting in the Catskills and northern valley.  So we’ll be unsettled all day, but the steadiest light rain showers being focused in the Catskills and northern HV.  Temps will be cooler… due to the clouds, patchy drizzle, and spot rain showers… struggling to get to the upper 50s and near 60° for a high.

The unsettled weather exits after dark, with the scattered showers tapering off around sunset, and gradually leaving us just in time for the work week.  Monday looks rather nice, with increasing sunshine and temps into the upper 60s… before we push back into the 70s by Tuesday.

So after some unsettled weather on Sunday, we should have a decent start to the work week.  Have a great Sunday!

Friday Discussion : Severe Weather Possible Late

Another taste of summer across the Hudson Valley for our Friday. A hazy mix of clouds and sunshine, with temperatures generally in the upper 70s to low 80s. Humidity levels are elevated, but not oppressive as dew points climb into the low and mid 60s.

A strong cold front will approach the Hudson Valley this evening, and with it will come the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms.

Scattered ‘pop up’ showers & t-storms: 4pm to 8pm
Line of showers & t-storms: 8pm to 11pm


We’ll see a few pop up showers and thunderstorms develop out ahead of the front later this afternoon, due to the heating of the day. These storms will be hit-or-miss in nature, and unpredictable (i.e. a storm could develop anywhere at any time). These storms could contain damaging wind gusts and heavy downpours.

The front itself should approach the region between 8pm and 11pm from west to east. Luckily, it arrives after dark, which will allow the T-storms to weaken a bit before reaching our area. That’s why the worst threat “enhanced risk” is to our northwest. The line of storms could contain damaging wind gusts, possibly even a stray tornado or two… as well as hail. The line will be strongest before sunset, when it is NW of the Hudson Valley… but could still pack a punch even after sunset, so we can’t let our guard down. The majority of the Hudson valley is in a “Slight Risk”, which takes into account that the storms will likely be weakening, but could still be strong to severe as they push into our area.

For perspective on the severe weather threat… If you look at the accompanying graphic, the orange area “enhanced risk” has a 5% to 15% risk of hail, and 15% to 30% risk of damaging winds. The risk percentage is calculated as the chances the severe weather occurs within 30 miles of any location. So while the odds appear low, that’s basically like saying there is up to a 1 in 3 chance that damaging winds could occur somewhere in your county… and when talking about damaging weather, those are pretty high odds.

So just be aware as we move through the afternoon, that a pop up T-Storm is possible. We’ll try to provide radar updates, but again, these storms could pop up at any time… so just keep an eye to the sky, and check the radar if things look ominous.

Thursday Discussion : Dodging Late Day Storms

Well, we’ve wanted the warmer weather… and now we’ve FINALLY got the warm, spring time weather.  But along with the spring time weather, comes the threat for T-Storms… and today, we’ll have that to contend with too…

We’ll have sunshine mixing with clouds and a WARM southwest wind.  Temps on Thursday will climb into the low to mid 80s, a good 15 degrees above average.  Unlike Wednesday, it will be a bit more sticky on Thursday, as dew points climb into the mid 60s.  It won’t be an oppressively humid day… but you will likely notice the humidity.

So the humidity will add the instability to the air, and give us a chance of pop up thunderstorms late in the afternoon.  Some of those storms could pack a punch, with damaging wind gusts or even hail possible.  Here’s the simulated radar…


You’ll notice that the threat for thunderstorms begins to rise after 3 or 4pm… and is highest between 5pm and 9pm across the region.  The storms are likely spotty… with roughly a 30 to 50% chance in any location.  But be on the look out later today.

We’ll try to have updates on the Facebook page as things unfold.  Have a great Thursday!

Wednesday Weather : The Wave of Warmth

After a very chilly month of April… May started off on a much different note.  Afternoon highs across the region on Tuesday were in the upper 70s to around 80°.  A beautiful change of pace.  That trend continues on Wednesday!

We’ll have lots of sunshine and blue skies for our Wednesday.  SW winds will be light but steady… but dew points will be rather low, making for comfortable humidity.  Temps will start out in the 50s… and then surge toward 80° by mid day.  Afternoon highs in the low 80s are expected… maybe even a few mid 80s for those south of I-84.

A beautiful Wednesday shaping up… and Thursday looks just as warm, but a bit more humid… maybe even a late day thundershower.  For now… enjoy your beautiful summer preview!

Monday’s Discussion : Winter’s Last Stand

This is it, ladies and gentleman… the final day standing between us, and some truly spring time… almost summer like weather in the Hudson Valley.  However, in order to get to the nice weather… we must deal with a raw, blustery and very cold start to the work week.

Mostly cloudy skies, a blustery NW wind gusting over 15mph at times, and scattered light rain showers and areas of drizzle… will all come together to create a raw, blustery, cold day for the final day of April.  Clouds and scattered rain showers will be with us through the day, that will help pin temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s across the region.  That kind of chill is WELL below average, nearly 15° to 20° below average!

As mentioned, an upper level low pressure system will slowly rotate northward, and out of the region.  But not before it spins back a band of scattered rain showers (and mountain snow showers) across the Hudson Valley and Catskills…


Once you locate the Hudson Valley, you’ll notice that bands of showers and drizzle will continuously rotate through our area… throughout the day.  So you’re going to want to have the umbrella handy, and a winter coat… because the chill and wet weather will be with us on Monday.

But rest easy… knowing that as soon as we move past Monday… things change dramatically…

What a difference a day will make!  Hang on… Springtime is coming tomorrow!

Sunday Discussion : Unsettled and Blustery

A much cooler, breezy and unsettled day across the Hudson Valley.  After a beautiful Saturday, our Sunday is looking rather cloudy and blustery.  Our winds out of the NW have moved the cold air out of the region, but left us with an unsettled air mass as an upper low pressure system is slow to depart.
So for the rest of Sunday and even as we head into Monday, we expect mostly cloudy skies… a few peeks of sun being possible.  Winds out of the NW will be blustery and add to the chill in the air.  A few spotty rain showers are possible… especially as you head north, into the upper Hudson Valley and Catskills.  In the Catskills, you might even see a few wet snow flakes mixed in.  Highs in the valley will struggle into the low 50s… and only make it into the low and mid 40s across the Catskills. 
As we mentioned, these conditions are likely to last through Sunday night, and right into Monday… thanks to the slow moving upper air low pressure system, that will keep us unsettled and cold for the next 36 hours. 
But we have BIG changes coming our way by Tuesday… with temps pushing into the low 70s!  So if you’re waiting for spring weather, you just have to hang on for another day or two.  Have a great Sunday!

Saturday Discussion : Better than Expected

We had a rather soggy and chilly Friday across the region, and on Saturday we are left in the wake between that system and an approaching cold front.  At first glance, that made for a rather unsettled Saturday… but now that the day has arrived, it looks like we’ll do quite nicely

SW winds ahead of the approaching front will push temperatures up into the upper 60s and even around 70° in a few spots.  That should make for a fantastic Saturday for anyone with outdoor plans.  The timing of the cold front works out almost perfectly for anyone with outdoor plans today, providing just a long enough window to enjoy the outdoors, before the cold front approaches with scattered showers and thundershowers toward sunset…

This simulated radar for 6pm shows the front edge of the showers and thundershowers pushing into the western Hudson Valley.  So best guess on the timing is between 5pm and 8pm from west to east across the region.  Once the showers arrive, they’ll be stubborn to exit… providing us with rain showers through much of the evening hours, before tapering off after midnight.

That will leave us with a blustery and cold Sunday… a major change from our Saturday weather.  On Sunday, clouds will mix with sunshine… but the strong NW wind will pin temperatures down in the low and mid 50s for highs on Sunday… and the chilly breeze will make it feel like the 40s at many points.  So those of us with plans on Sunday… you’ll want to have a heavy coat handy.

Otherwise… as we move into the work week, we’ll gradually see temperatures on the increase.  By mid week… we could be talking about temps around 80°!  So spring time will be in full effect by mid week… as we push into the month of May.

Have a great Saturday!

Friday Discussion : Unsettled and Cool

An unsettled Friday lined up, as we have a storm system pushing up the east coast. The storm isn’t well organized, but it does have some rain showers along with it. The scattered showers will persist through most of the day, raining steadily at times… and tapering off completely at other times… as the precipitation bands are not well organized either.

The clouds and showers will help keep temperatures pinned down in the 50s today, about 10 degrees below average. So the damp weather and cool temperatures will make for a rather soggy day.

Looking to the weekend, Saturday looks breezy and a bit warmer, as the flow shifts out of the SW. It will continue to be unsettled… with a lot of cloudiness, but we should also see breaks of sunshine as well. Temps during the afternoon should rise into the mid 60s… before a cold front pushes through Saturday evening. We could see some heavier showers… even a rumble of thunder with the passage of the front Saturday evening, before it gets colder again. That will leave us with a chilly and breezy Sunday, but at least things look dry on Sunday.

The bigger warm up is coming for the 2nd half of next week… with 70s likely by Wednesday or Thursday of next week. So hang in there… the true spring weather is coming. But for now… it’s April showers and chilly breezes. Have a great Friday!

Thursday Discussion : Cool Breezes

After a soggy Wednesday, our Thursday weather will dry out and turn rather breezy.  We’ll see increasing sunshine and decreasing clouds… along with a fairly strong NW wind, that will gust over 15mph at times.  Temperatures will be in the 50s for most of the morning hours, before pushing into the low 60s for the afternoon hours.  Temps will be slightly below average… but not too far off where they should be for this time of year.

As we move toward Friday… things will become unsettled once again.  A weak storm system will move up the east coast, fairly unorganized as it does.  It will spread clouds into the Hudson Valley during the morning… and showers will break out by mid day, and last through the afternoon.  A raw Friday shaping up, with temps holding in the low to mid 50s at best… be sure to plan ahead if you have plans.

Looking toward the weekend, it’s looking blustery and cold for the most part.  Temps will struggle to reach 60° with a strong NW breeze, which will make it feel very chilly for this time of year.  But the weekend does look rather dry, so the main thing you’ll have to plan for this weekend will be the wind and chilly.

Enjoy your Thursday, Hudson Valley….