Tuesday Discussion : Tranquil Tuesday

A much less eventful day across the Hudson Valley for our Tuesday. After some very active weather Sunday night and lasting into Monday’s blustery wind… Tuesday looks cool and quiet. Afternoon highs should climb into the upper 50s and even low 60s, depending on the exact location.
 
Clouds will increase later today, and leave us with mainly cloudy skies overnight, along with the threat of a spot shower or two… but nothing major expected overnight.
 
Our next chance for rain comes on Thursday, and Friday, as another storm system… similar in some ways to our last storm from Sunday… takes aim on the eastern US. More on that as we get closer.
 
Have a great Tuesday!

Sunday Discussion : Clouds, Sun and Seasonable

After a gorgeous Saturday with highs in the 70s… our Sunday doesn’t look quite as nice… but still should be a winner in terms of weather.
 
We’ll have steadily increasing mid and high level clouds through the day.  But we should also manage some breaks of sunshine along the way.  Afternoon highs should still make their way into the mid and upper 60s around the Hudson Valley, thanks to a decent southerly flow. 
 
As the afternoon progresses, we’ll see a few spotty rain showers and sprinkles around parts of the valley.  These should be very few and far between until after 4pm… but we can’t rule out the chance for a spot shower or two.  Tonight, clouds will thicken and scattered showers will become more common.  The heavier rain and thunderstorms don’t arrive until well after midnight… likely between 2am and 6am.  The line of storms could pack a punch, and the Hudson Valley is on the northern edge of a slight risk of severe weather per the NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center.  We’ll monitor the threat again tonight, but the primary concern is wind gusts over 50mph with the squall line.
 
For now, everyone enjoy what should end up being a fairly decent mid-April day!

Saturday Afternoon Discussion: Drop Dead Gorgeous

Hopefully you’re enjoying the gorgeous weather we’ve been provided!  Rain from last night exited this morning, and the clouds have been gradually been mixing with increased sunshine.  As of early afternoon, temps have climbed into the low 70s around the Hudson Valley.

Sunday looks to start out decent, but conditions will slowly deteriorate during the day.  Sunshine will fade behind increasing cloudiness, and by mid to late afternoon… patchy areas of drizzle or a spot shower are possible with temps likely rising into the low to mid 60s.

A soaking rain is expected Sunday night into Monday morning, with a few rumbles of thunder also possible.  So be sure to factor in a soaking Sunday night into your plans.

Have a great afternoon!

Friday Discussion : Gray and Unsettled

Low clouds and fog will carry us through much of the day on Friday, thanks to an unsettled SE flow.

Futurecast Radar: 7am Friday

Patchy areas of drizzle and spotty showers will develop by sunrise on Friday, and likely persist through much of the afternoon.  There is a chance we could have a few breaks of afternoon sunshine on Friday, but we’ll have to see if the clouds break up at all for us.  Highs in the afternoon will try to push toward 60°, but could fall short due to the low clouds and areas of drizzle.

However, Saturday looks likely to please everyone, with a return of sunshine and blue skies.  A warm SW wind should provide a surge of warm temperatures, and a day that everyone will find very acceptable.

Saturday High Temperatures

Have a great Friday!

Thursday Discussion : Cool with Clouds

A cool, early spring day across the Hudson Valley.  Our winds are out of the west/northwest, and that’s providing us a good number of clouds… and chilly conditions.  Highs this afternoon should struggle into the mid 50s.  That will make for an afternoon that feels more like mid March instead of mid April.  The threat for rain showers and drizzle should hold off until late tonight.

Overnight, a weak SE flow will likely draw moisture up the Hudson Valley, leading to areas of patchy fog and drizzle for the Friday AM commute.

Futurecast Radar : Friday 7am

Temperatures will likely be in the upper 30s to low 40s… so ice is NOT a concern.  However, damp and slick conditions are possible with wet roads.  Friday looks rather unsettled throughout, as the SE flow keeps us with patchy drizzle and spotty showers through the day.  Highs will struggle toward 60°, but likely fall short.

Saturday looks fantastic at the moment, with increasing sunshine, and a warm SW winds.  This could be the nicest day of 2019 so far.  We’ll have to wait and see…

Projected High Temperatures for Saturday

Have a great afternoon!

Wednesday Discussion : Cooler Temps Prevail

A return to the chill around the Hudson Valley for our Wednesday. The cold front with showers and thunderstorms moved through Tuesday afternoon… and has left us with a NW flow and some chilly air. Highs today will struggle into the low 50s, under a mix of sunshine and clouds.
 
Similar conditions are expected for Thursday, as temps should climb a couple degrees higher… into the mid and upper 50s for highs. Temps will warm toward the end of the week. A weak front associated with the blizzard affecting the upper midwest will move through Friday night… and that should leave us with a beautiful Saturday, and temps in the low 70s for highs.
 
Our next storm arrives later on Sunday, as a storm system rides up through the Ohio Valley, spreading rain showers into our area for Sunday night into Monday.
 
Hope everyone has a great Wednesday!

Tuesday Discussion : PM T-Storm Threat

Sunshine will mix with clouds as the fog burns off once again on Tuesday. Our mild SW flow will continue today, out ahead of an approaching cold front that arrives this afternoon.
Weather Concern:
– Showers and embedded thundershowers
– gusty winds & brief downpours possible
 
Timing:
– 2pm to 6pm… (best chance between 3pm and 5pm)
 
Temps will climb into the 60s ahead of our front, giving us one more very warm, spring day. The showers and thunderstorms could impact the front edge of the afternoon commute. We don’t expect widespread severe weather, but strong wind gusts and lightning can’t be ruled out with these early season storms.
 
Behind the front, temps will tumble a good 10 to 20 degrees for our Wednesday weather. Highs on Wednesday will fight their way into the low 50s for highs. A sharp contrast from our weather of late.
 
Have a great Tuesday!

Monday Discussion : Spring-Like Temps

After some beautiful weekend weather, the mild air will hold into Monday across the region.  Overnight rain showers should mainly exit the region by sunrise on Monday.  Clouds will mix with amounts of sunshine through our Monday, giving us a chance to dry out a bit.  Afternoon temperatures should climb through the 60s to near 70° for an afternoon high on Monday.

Clouds will linger through Monday night and into Tuesday morning, where another round of patchy drizzle and spotty rain showers will be possible.  Tuesday doesn’t look like a washout, but we could be dodging some spotty showers ahead of a cold front.  That cold front will bring major changes for Wednesday and Thursday, where highs will struggle to reach 50°… and the NW wind could make for wind chills in the 30s and 40s.  Certainly not arctic air, but definitely a reminder that we haven’t fully crossed over into spring.

Hope everyone enjoyed their weekend, and has a great start to the work week!

Saturday Discussion: Spring Surge

What a difference a day makes in early April!  We saw widespread reports of a slushy coating to an inch of wet snow on grassy areas, even in some valley areas.  Temps on Friday climbed into the low 40s by noon, as projected by computer guidance.  What wasn’t captured by computer data… was that as the precipitation moved in, temperatures would then tumble into the mid 30s, cold enough to support wet snow.  As a result, that meant many areas saw rain and sleet quickly mix with wet snow on Friday afternoon.  A pretty rare event for early April.  We’d love to see some reports in the comments below, about how much (if any) slushy accumulation you saw in your location.

But a new day brings new weather… and the sunshine has broken through and blue skies have replaced the gray skies.  Temperatures will quickly climb through the 50s, and into the low and mid 60s this afternoon!  How about THAT for a spring time turn around in the weather!  Anyone with outdoor plans for the weekend, you should be VERY happy with how the weather cooperates with your plans.

We hope you all have a chance to get out and enjoy some true spring time weather!  Have a GREAT Saturday!!

Friday Discussion : Raw End to the Week

Some of the winter weather lovers (ourselves included)… were hoping that if we had to have a raw early April day… that it would be accompanied by some wet snow.  Raw early April days are very common… each year it seems like we’re either dodging the threat for wet snow, or having a 35° rainy day.  Friday, looks closer to the latter… than the former.

Here’s a look at the futurecast radar, and the projected temperatures, for 11am on Friday

Futurecast Radar : Friday at 11am

Futurecast Temperatures : 11am Friday

Notice how the precipitation is still just entering the western Hudson Valley as of 11am on Friday… and that temperatures are already projected to be in the low to mid 40s in the valley.  That all but guarantees that whatever falls will be in the form of rain… not wet snow.  If you go into the Catskills, things could be slightly different… where temps may linger in the 30s, wet snow can’t be ruled out.  But even as of 6pm, notice that only the highest peaks may mix with wet snow

Futurecast Radar : 6pm Friday

and when we look at the total projected snowfall… it’s looking like almost a complete non-event… even in the Catskills.

Projected Snowfall Totals

only the highest peaks see a coating to an inch of wet snow.  This is because the calendar reads April 5th, and by this point in the season, the sun angle is so high in the sky… that daytime temperatures will be driven well above freezing.  This makes it virtually impossible for it to snow during the afternoon in lower elevations.  Every so often, an intense coastal storm can generate enough upward motion and cold air, to cause it to snow during the afternoon in April.

But the majority of times… as in this case… wet snow in April would need to occur at night, or early morning.  Unfortunately for winter weather lovers, who were hoping to see one last bout of wet snow… the arrival of the precipitation near mid day, will mean a raw, cold rain for most of us.

But… a rather beautiful weekend lies ahead of our raw Friday.  A reward for tolerating a chilly and damp end to the week.  Have a great Friday!