This devastating storm is no longer about the winds, and all about the rain. As Florence pushes further inland, its structure continues to fall apart gradually. At this time, the heaviest rain bands are on the eastern half of the storm. Because of the counter clockwise rotation, the flow off the Atlantic Ocean contains an abundance of tropical moisture.
Just glancing at the latest radar loop, and seeing that the heaviest rain continues to fall over the same areas, is just disheartening. Sunday is likely to be a very ominous day, with more reports of record flooding.
Parts of North Carolina have seen upwards of 20 inches of rain. On the “Hurricane Florence Rainfall as of Saturday Night” map, you can see that by all of the areas in white. It’s amazing to see just how wide the area of 20″ rains are. Unfortunately, the rains are not yet done.
As you can see on the last map, that another 2 to 6 inches of rain are possible before the system exits the area. As it appears right now, the rains should begin to gradually diminish later on Sunday. However, scattered bands of residual rain appear possible into Monday.
We continue to hope that this system can exit the region as quickly as possible, and that flooding does not turn as catastrophic as we have feared. However indications thus far, are that the flooding has not yet peaked… and that the worst may be yet to come.
Florence Eyes the Northeast
As we look down the road, we’ll watch as Florence gets caught in a frontal boundary in the Ohio Valley. That will turn Florence northward, and recurve it toward the Hudson Valley and Northeast.
The targeted time frame on Florence for our area… will likely be Monday night and early Tuesday. Exactly how the system devolves will determine just how much rain falls in our area, or the areas surrounding us. It currently does not look like a serious flash flood concern… but it does look capable of bringing 1 to 3 inches of rain to parts of the region. So we’ll have our eyes firmly fixed on Florence in the coming days.