A very slow moving, nearly stalled cold front with waves of low pressure moving along it with bring a prolonged period of rain across the region today through Saturday.It appears that rain today will me scattered in nature and pick up in coverage and intensity as we head into the very early hours of Friday and continuing in varying intensity through Saturday, guidance has the precip pulling out of the region between noon and 4pm on Saturday, we will iron out that time a bit more by tomorrow. Below are the NAM,GFS and EURO total precipitation ending Saturday.
As you can see, there is a good consensus that the axis of heaviest rainfall with be across the Hudson Valley, With 1-2 inches being the general theme, although the Catskills will see upwards of 4 inches of rain thanks to terrain enhancement. Ahead of this front we will see temps surge as a strong southerly flow pushes warm air into the region.
Temps will feel like spring on Friday afternoon as 60’s and 70’s surge north! Notice that bit of blue on the far left side of the map? That is the colder air associated with the incoming front, when the front pushes through it will push through with a vengeance!
Exactly 24 hours later we are knocked back down to reality, so much so that the precip will likely end as wet snow across the Catskills and the Taconics as the cold air crashes into the region.