Once again, unsettled weather is expected today as a backdoor cold front passes through our region. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Hudson Valley in a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms this afternoon through early this evening. While likely not a widespread severe weather event, everyone should stay weather aware, especially this afternoon.
Timing: Current model data indicates shower and thunderstorm activity entering our region from north to south between 1-4 pm and lingering through the early evening.
While likely not a widespread severe weather event, any storm that reaches severe criteria will be capable of producing be frequent lightning, large hail, strong gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall, which may result in isolated flash flooding in low lying areas.
Below is the Storm Prediction Center’s convective outlook followed by a simulated radar for this afternoon, which shows activity increasing as the day progresses.