If everything plays out the way we’re thinking… we’re about to have a pretty wild week of weather. It starts on Thursday… when we’ll see a few spotty rain showers around sunrise… but clouds should mix with breaks of afternoon sunshine. A warm SW wind will usher in some very warm air to the Hudson Valley. The result should be some incredible February warmth…
Your eyes do not deceive you. Those are temperatures in the low 60s across the lower Hudson Valley… and even some upper 50s in the northern Hudson Valley! The Catskills should push near 50°! The record high in Poughkeepsie is 66, set back in 1954… so that number looks safe. But what a beautiful afternoon we should have on our hands!
Then we have some more showers to contend with Thursday night into Friday, as an arctic cold front pushes through the region. That front will cause temperatures to plunge during the day on Friday… we’ll start out in the 50s, and finish the day in the low to mid 40s… and our low Friday night should be around 20°.
Then things get interesting… REALLY interesting…
A storm will develop along the arctic front that pushes through, and that storm will ride along the frontal boundary. The idea is, that the boundary sets up just to our south, and that when the moisture moves northward into the colder air that will be over the Hudson Valley… it will fall in the form of snow.
So yes… we are looking at the likelihood of a snow storm Saturday night, starting right around sunset… and then tapering off before sunrise on Sunday morning. We still have a lot of details to iron out… (the storm is just over 3 days away)… but there is the very real possibility that the storm could drop 3 to 6 inches of snow across portions of the Hudson Valley. All of the computer guidance sees this as a legitimate possibility… and the pattern favors this storm to develop and push snow into the Hudson Valley. But we’ll watch it for sure, and let you know if the event looks more, or less likely as we get closer. For now, lets say that the odds of this event happening as shown above are about 65% to 70%.
But to make things even more interesting… behind this storm… temperatures will moderate once again. So rather than an arctic blast, we’ll quickly begin melting the snow on Sunday and Monday. Then by Tuesday… after yet another warm front moves through… look at the projected high temperatures for Tuesday (about 6 days from now)
So that’s 60° today… a snow storm in 3 days… and near record warmth 3 days after that. Welcome to the Hudson Valley in an early spring pattern.
Again… we’re watching all of these events, and will have updates for you as we get closer. But a rollercoaster of weather is likely heading our way. Have a great Thursday!