Thursday Afternoon Discussion : Sun and Fun

The tranquil summer weather pattern continues to hold over the Hudson Valley, and it’s giving us a beautiful Thursday afternoon across the region.

Poughkeepsie @ 4pm
Sunny ?? 84°
Dew point 45° = very low humidity

Similar conditions are being felt all across the region, as another fine summer day begins to head toward evening. We’ll have another great day shaping up for Friday, with similar conditions to what we’ve seen today across the Hudson Valley.

We’re watching a weak front that could bring some clouds and perhaps a shower or two to the region on Saturday and Saturday night. In the wake of that, we’ll see the heat build back toward 90°… and some slightly higher humidity levels for Sunday and on into the work week.

Have a wonderful afternoon and evening!

Monday Discussion : Nice Summer Weather Continues

After a beautiful weekend of weather, our great weather pattern continues as we head into the work week.  A Canadian air-mass has provided us with low humidity levels through the weekend, and it will extend into the work week.  It will feel every bit of summer, however… as temperatures on Monday will climb well into the 80s, under a mostly sunny sky.  Dew points in the 50s will make for a comfortable heat across the Hudson Valley.  So a very nice start to the work week… feeling every bit of summer across the region.

Tuesday the heat will build a bit more, likely pushing 90° in most spots.  But dew points should remain near 60°, making it not too uncomfortable.  A weak front will approach during the afternoon, and could spread a few extra clouds into the area… as well as a stray T-storm or shower.  They will be very few and far between… but can’t be ruled out.  Most places may end up staying dry, we’ll see as we get closer.

A nice start to the work week… enjoy your Monday!

Saturday Discussion : Picture Perfect and Delightful

We’ll keep this one short and sweet… because we’re going to get outside and enjoy it.  After the weather of the past week, with the brutal heat and humidity… today feels outstanding!  With the passage of the cold front on Friday, we’ve seen the winds shift around to the NW and a very dry… very comfortable air mass has settled into the valley.

Expect lots of sunshine and blue skies on both Saturday and Sunday.  We’ll see low humidity on both days as well.  Saturday will feel refreshing… as highs climb into the upper 70s and near 80°.  Then on Sunday, we’ll see highs climb into the low and mid 80s for many parts of the region… possibly even some upper 80s.  But once again… with very low humidity levels, the heat should be quite manageable.

Enjoy what will surely be a glorious weekend in terms of weather!

Friday Discussion : AM Storms, Clearing Late Day

After a week long weather pattern, that featured oppressive heat and humidity at times, we’ll finally see a change in the pattern beginning on Friday.

Futurecast Radar : 1am – 7pm Friday

We start the day on Friday with showers and thunderstorms, out ahead of an approaching cold front.  The showers will spread into the region early on Friday morning, probably before sunrise.  Then the rain will be with us through mid day… before gradually tapering off during the early afternoon hours.  Clouds will then hold on, slowly clearing toward evening.  We’ll be very humid during the morning hours, slowly seeing that humidity drop during the afternoon.  Temps should be in the 70s during the morning, probably climbing into the low 80s during the afternoon hours, especially if there are breaks of sunshine.  And as of now, it does appear that we will have some breaks of sunshine by evening… which is great news for our friends at the HV Balloon Festival…

Hopefully some of you will be able to enjoy this fun event.  We’re very happy to be partners with them, and the weekend weather couldn’t be better!

Saturday and Sunday both look outstanding!  Lots of sunshine and blue skies, with very low humidity.  The wind will be out of the NW, but not too strong.  That will keep us dry, with very comfortable humidity levels.   Highs on Saturday are likely right around 80°, and Sunday we likely climb into the mid 80s.

After the week of heat and humidity we’ve just been through… this looks like a GORGEOUS stretch of weekend weather!  We hope you can enjoy it!

Thursday Discussion: Heat and Humidity on Repeat

The heat and humidity won’t relent… at least not yet.  After nearly a week of 90 degree temperatures, Thursday is looking likely to bring one more.  We may start the day with fog and low clouds… but those should burn off as the morning progresses.  That will allow the heat and humidity to build once again… and that will generate instability.  That instability will likely manifest in the form of scattered showers and thunderstorms by mid day.

Just how many showers and T-storms form, remains to be seen.  Some data suggests quite a few storms… while other data suggests only one or two.  If you have plans on Thursday, anticipate the threat for scattered shower or afternoon T-storm, that could briefly interrupt your plans.

But the heat and humidity will likely be the story on Thursday.  With high temperatures near or just above 90° in the valley.  Dew points are expected in the low 70s… creating real feel temperatures in the mid 90s.  But after the weather from this past week, this is nothing we can’t handle.

Have a great Thursday!

Happy Independence Day! Heat, Humidity & T-Storms

The heat and humidity are building once again for our 4th of July across the Hudson Valley.  Conditions won’t be quite as oppressive as recent days, but you’ll still need to be cautious when outdoors.
Temperatures as of 12p, are generally in the upper 80s to around 90° around the region, but dew points in the 70s are making it feel like 95° to 100°.
Poughkeepsie: 89° (feels like 94°)
Newburgh: 86° (feels like 97°)
Monticello: 84° (feels like 90°)
Monroe: 89° (feels like 103°)
Even at HVW Headquarters in Hurley, it’s 90° and feels like 93°.  So make sure you take the standard precautions in this weather:
– Frequent breaks from strenuous activity
– Drink plenty of water & sports drinks
– Check on children, seniors & pets
We’ll have to dodge scattered showers and thunderstorms as well this afternoon, as they will pop up randomly… and be very slow moving.  Flash flooding will be a concern in some areas, due to the heavy downpours and the slow moving T-storm cells.  
Futurecast Radar: 11am Wed – 5am Thu
Conditions for fireworks tonight should be good.  T-storms should diminish around sunset, and skies should be partly to mostly cloudy… decent enough for most fireworks around the region.  We cannot rule out the lingering late T-storm… but we should be in good shape in most locations.
So stay cool, and have a great afternoon.  Be safe, and we hope you have a wonderful 4th of July celebration!

Tuesday Afternoon Discussion : Hit or Miss Storms

In a shocking development (sarcasm)… it’s incredibly hot across the Hudson Valley. Poughkeepsie is currently 93°, but feels like 100° when you factor in the humidity. Similar conditions can be found all around the region. Heat index values are running between 95° and 105° in places where the sun continues to shine. However, we have some showers and thunderstorms to talk about. Here’s the radar from roughly 2:30pm to 4pm…
Most of the action is focused here, and flash flooding may become a concern. In those areas, storms have been slow to move for the last 2 hours, resulting in some locally heavy rainfall amounts. Temps are a bit cooler due to the rain, but the humidity remains intense. Expect the showers and thunderstorms to be scattered in the Rockland & Westchester county area through sunset.
The heat and humidity continues to be brutal, and as a result a few pop up showers and storms can’t be ruled out. We have a couple super cells in Ulster county, that could produce torrential downpours and dangerous lightning. Keep an eye on the radar, and on the skies. A storm could develop in any location, at any time… so be prepared for that potential. With that said, the storms appear likely to be few and far between.
Futurecast Radar: 12pm Tuesday – 6am Wednesday
So the rest of the afternoon, and into this evening… take it easy out there. Don’t over do it in the heat. Take frequent breaks from strenuous activity, and stay properly hydrated. The heat will be with us for a couple more days, but relief arrives on Friday. Have a nice afternoon!


Monday Discussion : Steamy Sauna

We are smack in the middle of a scorching heat wave across the Hudson Valley.  Another afternoon of hot and humid conditions, as we see temperatures into the mid 90s… and ‘real feel’ heat index values 100° to 105° in many places today.

We’ve been discussing the situation for days, and by now, we all know the precautions to take.  We have to take it slow outside, and not over do it.  Make sure to drink plenty of fluids, especially water and sports drinks.  You want to be sure you don’t dehydrate with the very high humidity levels around the region.  With ‘real feel’ heat index values approaching 105°, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in after a short period of time.  Make sure you take it slow out there.

As we look toward Tuesday, the heat and humidity will be back on the menu.  Afternoon highs in the mid 90s, with high dew points and real feel heat index values in he upper 90s to 105°.  The big difference on Tuesday, is that we could see one or two isolated T-storms pop up in the afternoon.

Futurecast Radar : 12pm Tuesday to 12am Wednesday

You’ll notice that we get a few spotty showers and thunderstorms develop over the Hudson Valley during the mid afternoon hours.  Instability will be very high, so the ingredients for a heavy downpour and possibly a potent T-Storm are surely there.  The T-storm could help cool the temps for a bit… but they won’t provide any break from the humidity.  If anything, the storms will only add to the humidity… making it even more uncomfortable.

This will likely continue into Wednesday as well.  Temperatures on Wednesday will once again climb into the 90s, with real feel heat index values again pushing 100° to 105°.  The saving grace could be the T-storms scattered about.  While not providing much relief… they could prevent temperatures from climbing too high.  We’ll have to track things as they develop on Tuesday, to see if storms become a widespread issue.

Otherwise… the heat is on for much of the week.  Some relief on the way by week’s end.  It looks like some T-Storms could roll through Thursday night , and bring us some relief by Friday afternoon and Saturday.  The timing of the front needs to be ironed out… but it should bring an end to the uncomfortable heat for the weekend.  Which at this point, sounds pretty good.  Something to look forward to.

Have a great afternoon!

Sunday Discussion : The Heat is On!

We’ve lucked out a bit (believe it or not), as the heat and humidity are in full effect on this Sunday.  The reason we say ‘lucky’, is because temperatures are not as severe as some data suggested they would be.  That said… the heat, and especially the humidity, are extremely uncomfortable, and borderline dangerous. 
2pm Airport Temperatures:
Poughkeepsie: 91° (feels like 98°)
Newburgh: 90° (feels like 100°)
Montgomery: 91° (feels like 100°)
Westchester Co: 92° (feels like 98°)
Monticello: 90° (feels like 96°)
When we look at local private reporting stations, we’re seeing higher humidity levels creating higher “real feel” temperatures.  HVW Headquarters in Hurley, just west of Kingston, have a current temp of 92° and a heat index of 102°.  But heat index values are generally between 100° and 105° at this hour.
So it’s early afternoon, and we have several hours of heating left across the region.  That means that we could watch temperatures climb into the mid and upper 90s, and heat index values climb toward 110° and possibly higher.  These are dangerous conditions if you’re not properly prepared.  So make sure you take it slow out there:
– Drink plenty of water / sports drinks
– Avoid extended periods in direct sun
– Take frequent breaks from strenuous activity
– Check on children and seniors
So on the positive side, conditions are not as brutal as we worried a couple days ago.  But conditions are still extremely uncomfortable, and potentially dangerous.  It will get hotter and more humid this afternoon, so it may not be 100° with a heat index of 115°… but it’s still low to mid 90s, with a heat index of 95° to 105°.  Make sure you stay cool and stay hydrated.  Have a good afternoon!

Saturday Discussion : The Heat Builds

Friday was quite hot around the Hudson Valley with Poughkeepsie recording a high of 90°.  We’re only going to get hotter in the coming days, and that begins on Saturday.

We’ll see mostly sunny skies and a lot of heat across the region.  The mercury will climb into the low and possibly mid 90s across the Hudson Valley, as we closely watch exactly how hot it gets, in an attempt to fine tune how intense the coming days will be.  The good news, is that the humidity won’t be oppressive on Saturday.  Make no mistake, it won’t be a walk in the park… but it won’t be dangerous across the region.  Real Feel temperatures in the mid 90s, very close to the actual air temperature… will mean that you’ll need to take it slow, and stay well hydrated.  A mid summer day for sure on Saturday.

Sunday, things get dangerous across the Hudson Valley, as the mercury rises into the mid and upper 90s… possibly near 100° in some spots.

It’s the humidity that will be incredibly uncomfortable on Sunday.  Temperatures between 95° and 102°, likely combine with dew points between 70° and 75°.  That will make for a ‘real feel’ heat index of 100° to 115°!

We mentioned that we’re going to be closely watching things on Saturday in an attempt to determine whether the European or American model is likely correct with regard to Sunday.  It’s a brutal day, no matter what… and dangerous at that.  However, it could mean the difference between 105° heat index and 115°.  That’s the difference between very uncomfortable and very dangerous.

As we said yesterday, remember to take use extreme caution:

– Check on seniors and those who may need assistance.
– Take frequent breaks from strenuous activity.
– Drink plenty of fluids, water and sports drinks.  Alcohol and sugar drinks will dehydrate you further.
– Avoid extended exposure to sunshine without shade

These conditions look likely to continue into Monday and Tuesday… possibly not as bad as Sunday, but we will have to keep a close eye on things.  By Wednesday, we may see a boundary drift southward over the Hudson Valley, and that could touch off some strong to severe thunderstorms, as the atmosphere would just be packed with potential.  But we’ll worry about that as we get closer.

For now… be sure to prepare yourself for the heat.  If you don’t take these conditions seriously, heat exhaustion and heat stroke could set in rather quickly.  Stay cool, Hudson Valley!