Friday Discussion : Icy First Night of 2021

Happy New Year, Hudson Valley!!  We hope that each of you has a wonderful start to a wonderful year!

Weather wise, things will get busy right away, as we have a storm system over the central US that will be pushing northward on Friday.  It will spread precipitation out ahead of it, along a warm front.  As that overrunning moisture reaches toward the Hudson Valley, we’ll likely have enough cold air at the surface, to give us a period of freezing rain and sleet all across the region.

Futurecast Radar : 5pm Friday – 12am Saturday

This loop runs from 5pm to midnight, and you can see that the freezing rain and sleet arrives right around sunset, in the lower Hudson Valley first.  But by 8pm, most of the region is seeing the frozen precipitation.  As a result, the entire region is under a Winter Weather Advisory.  Icy road conditions are possible all over the region, with the most hazardous travel expected in the Catskills, because that’s where it will be coldest, and the freezing rain should last longest in the higher elevations.  A glaze up to a tenth of an inch of ice is possible on untreated surfaces, so please use extra caution.  But as we reach midnight and beyond, temps should warm above freezing… and the freezing rain should change to a plain cold rain.

Futurecast Radar : 1am to 9am Saturday

Even by 1am, most of the region is already above freezing and a plain rain is falling.  It’s possible the cold air hangs on a bit longer in the traditionally coldest areas of the region.  There its possible the freezing rain lasts as late as 2 or 3 am.  But by sunrise… everyone should be a chilly rain, with temps jumping into the 40s on Saturday morning.  Travel on Saturday morning should be rapidly improving, so while you’ll want to use caution… you also should be OK for your Saturday morning plans, especially in the Hudson Valley.

Sunday Snow Threat

The potential for a snow event across the Hudson Valley on Sunday is looking more and more likely.  Here is the forecast weather map from sunrise on Sunday, through Monday afternoon…

If anything, the models are showing more agreement in the fact that a wet snowfall does occur around the region.  The timing appears to be Sunday afternoon into Sunday night… tapering off before sunrise on Monday.  We’ll focus a lot more on this potential on Friday, to try and give you the best idea possible of what to expect.  A busy weather weekend ahead.  Happy New Year everyone, and stay safe!!

2 thoughts on “Friday Discussion : Icy First Night of 2021”

  1. Happy New Year,Hudson Valley Weather! What would we do without you? At least this stormy weather is more of an impetus for people to stay home and stay safe.

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