-Periods of light snow after midnight
-Steadiest snow from 8am to 2pm
-Snow tapers between 2pm and 5pm Saturday
-1” to 3” lower HV, 2” to 4” north
Looking at the latest data, we wanted to share our thoughts regarding the expected snow on Saturday. Atmospheric dynamics have the Hudson Valley wedged between high pressure off the east coast, and low pressure in the Great Lakes… and the resulting atmospheric lift or “vertical velocity” will cause areas of snow to develop on Saturday.
The snow showers after midnight should be mainly light, but a dusting to an inch is possible by morning. But a steadier band of snow is likely to develop by mid morning, and last into early afternoon. Because upward motion is generating this snow, pinpointing heaviest snow totals in advance is impossible. The highest snow totals are expected to be in the upper Hudson Valley and Catskills, where a general 2 to 4 inches appear likely. We can’t rule out embedded heavier bands where snow totals push 6 inches… it all depends on exactly how strong the atmospheric lift is. Further south, slightly less precipitation is expected… so a general 1 to 3 inches are likely south of I-84, but even there a localized heavy band of snow can’t be ruled out. Temperatures are expected to be at or below freezing, so travel on Saturday could definitely be impacted, with snow covered and icy roads.
We’ll have more thoughts later tonight, but we don’t expect major changes to the forecast. A very tricky weather situation on the way for Saturday, so make sure you’re ready.