A crisp morning across the region this morning, had a widespread frost at my house in Ulster County this morning. Don’t let this cold start trick your treat for later this evening. A warm front is lifting through the region so temps will rebound nicely throughout the day with temps peaking into the upper 50’s and low 60’s from the low temps this morning. The only devil in the details is a slowly approaching cold front moving towards the region. Clouds will also be increasing throughout the day with overcast skies in place by this evening.
Short range guidance suggests that the moisture associated with this will front will remain north of the region, as the cold front will struggle to push into the region. Chance of rain for the evening continues to be low probability although we can’t rule out a few rouge showers. So trick or treating should not only be fairly warm, but also dry! Looking ahead into Thursday and Friday, this cold front eventually does make its way into our region and stalls out, meaning a prolonged period of unsettled weather with moderate to heavy rainfall amounts exceeding 1-2 inches by Friday evening. We will have more on the incoming rain threat later this evening and tomorrow. Everyone have a great day!