Summary:
– 6am to 10am: rain showers develop; temps in mid 30s
– Wet snow possible in northern HV (2″ to 4″ wet snow)
– Precip tapers off by midnight (0.25″ to 0.50″ rain)
After such an extended period of brutally cold weather… we are finally seeing a break from winter’s grasp. Clouds are mixing with sunshine on Tuesday… and temps have surged into the mid 40s for much of the region. This will finally begin to put a dent in our snowpack. Clouds will increase overnight Tuesday night… and temperatures are expected to stay near freezing in the valley… and set the stage for our next weather event on Wednesday.
The Hudson Valley finds itself on the boundary once again, between air that’s just cold enough to produce wet snow… and air that’s just warm enough to produce a cold light rain. The position of that boundary will determine who sees light rain showers… and who sees accumulating wet snow. As of now… this boundary is likely to be just north of Kingston… but those between Poughkeepsie and Kingston need to monitor the situation closely, to see if that mid level cold air creeps a bit further south.
Periods of light rain should develop between 6am and 10am on Wednesday. Temps should be 32° to 38° Wednesday morning, but a few icy spots can’t be ruled out. Rain may mix with or change to wet snow in Greene and Columbia counties, and the question remains how far south that rain/snow line sinks. For now, accumulating snows should be confined to Greene and Columbia counties. South of there, it’s between 0.25″ and 0.50″ of rainfall that’s expected by the time everything tapers off by midnight Wednesday night.
We’ll keep our eye on things, but this weak disturbance looks more wet than white for the Hudson Valley.