Saturday Discussion : Mild before the Mix

Temperatures on Saturday may start out cold, but they should finish about as mild as we’ve seen so far this month.  Highs on Saturday will climb into the low and mid 40s around the region, under a good amount of sunshine.  It should shape up to be quite the nice late winter day!

But of course, everyone continues to be focused on Sunday morning.  It does look to be a headache for many parts of the region, as the timing and temperatures are quite inconvenient for anyone who may be headed out early on Sunday.  It looks like the snow changes to sleet rather quick, but the sleet may be a bit more stubborn to change to rain.  This could cause some icy travel in spots Sunday morning, until the temperatures rise above freezing for the afternoon hours.  Timing the temperatures will be the critical issue… because once temps get to 32° with the March sun angle, the snow and sleet should melt on the paved surfaces pretty quick.

We’ll try to take an updated look at this later on Saturday, to see if we have more ‘fine tuned’ information.  But here are our latest thoughts as of early Saturday morning.

Timing
… Snow begins between 3am and 6am Sunday morning

… Snow changes to sleet between 5am and 8am
… Wintry mix changes to rain between 7am and 12pm

Impacts & Accumulation
… A coating to 2″ in the valley… up to 3″ possible in Catskills
… temps near 32° by sunrise, how fast they rise is critical to AM travel
… sleet may persist with temps slightly above freezing, delaying improved travel

… icy spots likely near sunrise, gradual improving by mid AM hours
… Traditionally colder valleys may see extended period of Ice (ex. Sullivan, West Ulster)

4 thoughts on “Saturday Discussion : Mild before the Mix

  1. Hi,
    I found this site last year before the big March snow storm. After that storm I concluded this is the place to go for accurate planing weather wise.
    Keep it up
    Thank you

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