After a Friday night that featured some widespread snow showers and snow squalls… things should quiet down a bit for our Saturday. Sure, consider us biased… but there’s just something about a harmless snow squall with half dollar sized snow flakes falling and melting harmlessly on the pavement on a seasonably chilly early March evening. Looking up into the street light to see hundreds of flakes swirling to the ground, or night time driving in the snow… and throwing the high beams on, to make it look like you’re flying the Millennium Falcon in a Star Wars movie at light speed. Something about the snow that just brings out the big kid in us.
Perhaps that’s why some people get so sour about a ‘busted’ snowfall forecast where the snow doesn’t accumulate the way we anticipate. Because we’ve become giant children who are going to stomp our feet, because we want our special treat… and Mother Nature has just told us ‘no desert, it’s time for bed!”
Anyway… that was a completely unexpected digression, and not at all how I expected to start this post. As far as our Saturday is concerned… we’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies across the valley, along with a persistent and gusty NW breeze. Sustained winds around 10 to 15mph are expected, and gusts upwards of 25mph will really add to the late winter chill across the region. Make sure you grab a good coat for whatever the day has in store for you. Our friends in the Catskills could see a few flurries or a snow shower through the day… but nothing that part of the world isn’t used to for this time of year.
A cold night ahead as well, at least for early to mid March standards. Mostly clear skies are likely along with continued light winds and overnight lows that should fall into the teens and low 20s. Wind chills in the low teens and possibly single digits… reminding us that Winter won’t quit just yet. The cold hangs with us for Sunday as well, with afternoon highs once again in the mid to upper 30s… which is a solid 5 to 10 degrees below average. That sets the stage for one of the potentially colder nights we’ll see the rest of the season. Winds are expected to die down early Monday morning, and these could be our Monday morning wake up temperatures…
Now, the Euro is picking up on the idea that snow pack will hold through the weekend in much of the Hudson Valley.. this may be true in some spots… not so true in others. Take my house in Pine Bush for instance… we only had 7 or 8 inches to begin with, so that snow is about 60% gone now, and I don’t know if it will hold through the weekend… we’ll see. But where they got 15 to 20 inches of wet snow… I’m sure they will be plenty of snow left over. And where there is snow, overnight lows could drop into the single digits… thanks to a process known as radiational cooling. That’s where the warmth of the day radiates back out into the atmosphere at night. This process is maximized when winds are calm, skies are clear, and when there is a fresh snow pack.
The reason, is that calm winds allow the heat in the air to rise… the clear skies mean there aren’t any clouds to act like a blanket and lock in the warm air, preventing it from radiating out into space. And the snow pack… is a bright white surface that reflects solar radiation during the day, keeping it cooler… where as the ground typically absorbs more solar radiation. And so when night time comes, the white surface of the snow pack quickly radiates that heat back out to the atmosphere… where the ground is slower to radiate the heat back into the atmosphere.
So long story short… a COLD night could be ahead for Sunday night and Monday morning.
Finally… the Nor’easter Storm Recap… it’s not finished yet. Quite simply, I was too tired to do it justice Friday night, and will wrap it up on Saturday. I sincerely apologize for the delay… it’s just been an exhausting 10 day period. But considering how many tangents I went off into on this post… I should have just finished the recap.
Oh well… keep an eye out for the recap on Saturday. Have a great day!