As we get to mid week, we’re beginning to get a consensus between the model data on the setup for Friday’s storm threat. It looks increasingly likely that we will split the difference between the two original scenarios.
Several days ago, we had one scenario that took the storm completely out to sea and missed the Hudson Valley entirely. Then we had another scenario which deepened a coastal low pressure and ran it up the coast… which would have translated into a significant snow event. Instead… it appears we’ll have a weaker storm that takes a track in between. This would bring a period of light to moderate snow to the region between midnight and mid day on Friday. This would have implications for the Friday AM commute. Early projections would give our region between 2 and 6 inches of snow, depending on how the details unfold in the next 24 to 36 hours.
It is important to note, that we can still experience changes in the data. If the upper level trough is stronger and deeper, it could mean a storm that hugs the coast and intensifies. These little details in the setup can create big changes in the end result… so we’ll be watching closely. Should the data look noticeably different on Wednesday, we will be sure to let you know. Otherwise, have a great Wednesday!