Sunday Discussion : Nasty Nestor Afternoon

Sunshine is gradually fading behind increasing clouds this morning, out ahead of the remnants of Tropical Storm Nestor.  Unfortunately, those with outdoor plans this afternoon, will see rain showers dampen the festivities.
Timeline:
– 12pm to 3pm – Showers begin SW to NE
– 11pm to 2am – Showers taper W to E
 
Impact:
– Steady rain showers: Dutchess, Orange, E. Ulster, Rockland, Westchester & Putham counties
– Scattered rain showers : Sullivan, Delaware, W. Ulster, Greene, Columbia counties
 
This system could split the HV in half from SW to NE.  Very often our region seems to be on the edge of storm systems that track to the coast… and this will be no different.  Light rain showers will arrive for everyone early this afternoon, and then for the SE HV, those showers will likely become steady.  Up to a half inch of rain is possible in those areas.  To the north… the showers may not persist for long, as dry air will dig into the NW side of the rain shield, much like we see in the winter.  So places in Sullivan county might not even see a tenth of an inch of rain… while parts of Putnam and Dutchess county could see nearly a half inch or maybe slightly more.
 
Everything begins to taper from west to east around midnight, and we’ll have a dry Monday AM commute.  But unfortunately, our Sunday afternoon won’t be ideal, thanks to a late reminder from the 2019 tropical season.

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