Sunday Discussion : Remnants of Delta Overnight

As the seasons continue to change, and late summer becomes fall, we begin to see more interesting weather events around the Hudson Valley.  The remnants of Hurricane Delta have phased into an east coast trough, and will provide our area with what is essentially “Nor’easter Delta”.  Now, this storm isn’t named, and has no tropical characteristics… but the moisture and energy left over from what was Hurricane Delta, will give us a winter like nor’easter… just with rain instead of snow.

Futurecast Radar : Sunday 8pm – Tuesday 2pm.

This simulated radar of the northeast shows the expected progress from Sunday night through lunch time Tuesday.  The bulk of the rain will come through between midnight tonight and 4pm on Monday afternoon.  Then we’ll have the threat for scattered rain showers through the afternoon and evening on Monday, as the cold front approaches from the west.  The cold front could touch off more showers, possibly even a thunderstorm, near sunrise on Tuesday… before pushing east of the Hudson Valley by mid morning on Tuesday.

As with a nor’easter, we’ll have blustery and raw conditions on Monday.  Winds out of the east/northeast at 5 to 15mph will combine with chilly temperatures holding in the upper 40s to low 50s.  This will make for a raw feel more typical of early spring or late fall.  You’re going to want rain gear and a heavy coat if going out and about on Monday.  In terms of rainfall amounts, a good soaking rain is likely for much of the region.

Areas south of I-84 have the best chance to see over 1″ of rain.  Latest guidance is hinting that these rainfall amounts might be a little high, and that the rainfall might not be quite as heavy as what we see above.  But either way, a soaking rain of 0.50 to 1.0 inches appears likely for much of the Hudson Valley.  Everything should exit the region Tuesday morning… possibly lingering a little later in the Catskills.  But by Tuesday afternoon, breaks of sun are expected in the area once more.

We’ll keep our eye on the situation as it develops, but no major surprises expected with this system.  Simply a reminder that fall is here, and a nor’easter with blustery and raw conditions will kick off our work week.  Have a great Sunday afternoon and evening!

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