Timing The Storms

Afternoon heating/sunshine will determine where we see the  highest threat of strong to severe storms, in areas where energy is low it may just be a passing downpour with some thunder. We will need to monitor the radar throughout the afternoon and update as storms form to determine where the biggest impacts may occur. As always, our Facebook feed is best for these short fused and frequent updates, our Facebook feed is also on our site.

Slight differences in the models this morning, the HRRR is the earliest with the storms and brings them through the region between noon and 4 pm from NW to SE. The NAM is between 3 and 6pm from NW to SE. When comparing the models to the current radar it appears the HRRR may have a better handle on the situation, although both models are missing the convection we saw across Delaware county this morning. So we would lean towards the earlier formation of storms, if your seeing sun or partial sun this morning, you risk for storms to become strong to severe this afternoon is higher.

Any storms that form may produce damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and an isolated tornado. Stay tune for updates as storms form later today and if your plans have you outside, please pay extra close attention to the weather.

Below is the NAM and HRRR simulated radar for this afternoon.

1 thought on “Timing The Storms”

  1. It came through at Boodle Hole Road about 15 mins ago (noon). Sudden strong winnd and pouring rain but thankfully no tornados or hail. Sunny again now!

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