After a warm day or two, our flow has settled back out of the NW and that has allowed the cold air to steadily filter back into the Hudson Valley. Tuesday starts off in the low to mid 30s for the valley… upper 20s into the Catskills. We’ll see sunshine mixing with clouds through the day, and a steady WNW breeze. That will help to keep temperatures in the upper 30s for highs today… so don’t expect much of a change from where things are right now.
This cold air will be with us for the rest of the week, as average temperatures this time of year are in the mid 40s for highs in the valley, so it will be 5 to 10 degrees below normal for much of the week. Make sure you’ve got the winter coats handy, as it’s starting to feel more and more like winter.
The rumblings about a potential nor’easter for Sunday have been in the air for about 3 or 4 days now. Generally, we don’t discuss these sort of situations, because computer models for 7 days out are extremely unreliable. On top of that, for the last 48 hours, the computer models have backed off the idea for our area, keeping the storm pinned south of Washington, DC. We want to mention this now, because the pattern is quite favorable for a coastal storm in the Sunday – Monday time frame coming up. We wouldn’t be surprised if the guidance began to pull this storm a bit further up the coast in the next 24 to 48 hours. So if you have plans for later on Sunday and into Monday… just keep your ears up for more information on the situation. Right now, it’s probably greater than 75% chance the storm stays south of our area based on the computer guidance. But we’ve seen many times where the guidance misses one or two small factors… and the end result is a major change in the forecast 3 or 4 days out from the storm. We’ll try to update you every day, if there are any changes to the situation.
Have a great Tuesday!