Wednesday Discussion : Clouds with Afternoon Showers

A cold front with some rather cold air will approach the region on Wednesday.

We might see a little sunshine in the morning as the clouds build in across the region.  Winds will still be out of the south, so temperatures should climb into the 60s around the region out ahead of the cold front, despite the clouds.  As the afternoon moves on, scattered rain showers will begin moving in from the west.  The showers will be rather scattered in nature, so many locations may stay mostly dry through much of the afternoon.

Futurecast Radar : 12pm Wed – 12am Thu

The showers will increase in number and intensity as the evening progresses, but you can see on the radar simulation that the areas of rain are shower-like in nature rather than a steady rain.  But as we go through the night, low pressure will develop near the coast, and that will cause precipitation to expand in coverage overnight.

Futurecast Radar : 12am to 12pm Thursday

One of the questions has been “will it snow on April Fool’s Day?”  The answer to that question has looked increasingly like the answer is ‘not likely’.  The cold air will be rushing southward early on Thursday, but the moisture will also begin exiting the region at the same time.  In addition, the cold won’t press as rapidly south as would be necessary… temps in the valley by sunrise on Thursday are expected in the upper 30s to near 40°.  So mainly rain is likely in the valley areas.  The Catskills could be a different story, where temperatures will fall into the low and mid 30s.  It’s in the Catskills where we have the best chance of seeing the rain change to wet snow before ending.  A slushy inch or two in Sullivan, Delaware, western Ulster and western Greene are possible.

We’ll keep tabs on the situation as it begins to unfold, and share updates as needed.  But it looks like a widespread April Fool’s snow is unlikely… which I’m sure won’t hurt the feelings of most folks.  Have a great Wednesday!

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